Meszaros signs offer sheet, speculation abounds
August 28th, 2008
Uh ohs.
Adam Proteau of the Hockey News says Sens defenseman Andrej Meszaros has signed an offer sheet with an unidentified team just two days after TSN said he and the Senators were “not close” to a new deal.
Hours after Ottawa GM Bryan Murray held a news conference to announce the team was at a contractual impasse with restricted free agent defenseman Andrej Meszaros, The Hockey News has learned from an NHL source that Meszaros has agreed to a multi-year offer sheet with an average salary in excess of $5 million per season.
The team that has agreed to terms with the 22-year-old has yet to be confirmed.
When contacted by The Hockey News, Murray denied the report.
“I’ve heard rumors that that’s happening, but there’s no confirmation of that at this point,” said Murray.
Initially, the reports were that it was Tampa Bay that signed Meszaros, and that made enough sense. The Bolts’ defense is suspect and Meszaros would help them as they rebuild the entire blue line down there. But then came the revelations of the obvious: 1) Tampa is only about $3 million short of the salary cap (NHLNumbers.com says they’re at $53.445m), and 2) The compensation for an offer sheet in the neighborhood of and under $5,231,249 is a first-, second- and third-round pick in the ensuing year’s draft. Tampa traded their third-rounder to Pittsburgh for the rights to negotiate with Ryan Malone (success!).
So who signed Meszaros? The following is a list of teams that have all the picks necessary to sign him:
- Pittsburgh
- New Jersey
- New York Rangers
- New York Islanders
- Carolina
- Washington
- Atlanta
- Florida
- Detroit
- Columbus
- St. Louis
- Nashville
- Edmonton
- Vancouver
- Colorado
- Dallas
- Phoenix
Of those, only the Islanders, Caps, Panthers, Blue Jackets, Blues, Canucks, Avs and Coyotes have the cap space or room on their self-imposed spending limits to have signed Meszaros to a deal of this kind.
This part is me throwing crap at the wall, but I really think this is a move Phoenix would and probably should make. Their blue line is thin at the top (Ed Jovanovski, Derek Morris, Kurt Sauer and Zbynek Michalek make up the top four) and Morris is coming off the books after this season. Phoenix could also make a big step forward in the West this year and maybe, if they perform to their massive potential and things break as expected in the depths of the East’s basement, even have the pick fall lower than the 10-12 range.
The Coyotes also need to get someone to run the point on the power play and find a suitable replacement for traded-away Keith Ballard (not that I wouldn’t do that Jokinen deal again in a heartbeat).
Plus, the Coyotes are still below the cap floor of $40.3 million (at $39.067 million). Would it surprise me that it was someone other than the Coyotes? No. Most of the listed teams could use him (that Avs’ second pairing is hurting), but I think it’s the best fit.
AND ANOTHER THING:
“I think Mez is a potentially good young defenseman who had a bit of an off-year this past year, and we’ve asked their camp to entertain that in what we’re trying to do with him,” Murray said.
So that’s worth exploring. It would be tough to match the lofty expectations Meszaros set for himself with his 10-29-39 rookie campaign that featured him finishing +34(!) and certainly Murray is right to point out that the 2007-08 season wasn’t at that standard.
However, Meszaros was still the Sens’ best blue line threat with the man advantage (16 points was tied for the team lead with the likewise departed Wade Redden). A quick peak at a few stats sites show that Meszaros’ point totals have gone 39, 35, 36 with goal totals of 10, 7, 9. Pretty consistent there, no? So maybe it was his hits and blocked shots that declined? Not especially. His 101 hits and 100 blocked shots were both down from 124 and 143, respectively, in 2006-07, and 128 and 124 in his rookie season. Not a huge dropoff. Turnover ratios, you say? In 2005-06: -22, 2006-07: -47, 2007-08: -15. And while I don’t put much stock in plus-minus, he went from -15 last season to +5.
Basically, I don’t see Murray’s argument. From the look of things he seems to have become a smarter hockey player if nothing else, while holding more or less the same stat lines across the board. If Jeff Finger’s worth $3.5 million and Ron Hainsey’s worth $4.5 million, Meszaros is worth $5 million. Maybe not to the Sens, but to someone, and it’s disingenuous of Murray to say otherwise.









